Nursing is facing a perfect storm of factors that, taken all together, could leave the world short of nearly 5.7 million nurses by 2030, according to Becker’s Hospital Review forecast. In America, the driving factors of this shortage include the baby boomer generation reaching retirement age, an increased need for health care as our population ages, a lack of qualified educators, and the COVID-19 pandemic. 19. Although each state is feeling the effects of these factors, their intensity and the amount by which they will affect the supply of nursing care varies greatly.
NursingEducation.org used data from the Health Resources and Services Administration’s Health Workforce Simulation Model, which is an integrated health occupation projection model that estimates the current and future supply and demand of health care providers. health. The 2017 model, which is the most recent available, examines current healthcare provider demographics, current and projected population numbers, and the state of the national economy and labor market.
For this story, states were ranked by the projected surplus of RNs in 2030, which is the percentage change between the projected supply of RNs and the projected demand. A positive percentage means there is a projected surplus of nurses in 2030, and a negative percentage means there is a projected shortage of nurses. Any ties are broken by the projected surplus of licensed practical nurses in 2030.
Read on to see where your state ranks and what states are doing to help change the crisis, whether it’s improving the student-professional pipeline or providing monetary incentives.